SD ML vs MIL MIL +113 / SD -136 • O/U 7
Board 1006-2392 · posted 448h ago
On the boardRevealed
LeagueMLB
SelectionSD ML vs MIL
OddsMIL +113 / SD -136 • O/U 7
Risk / Win$100 → $73.53
State at postMLB • MIL @ SD • Oct 6, 9:30 PM ET
Slips in60 / 60
Outcomeunsettled
Hedge Threshold EngineReference
| FAV | DOG | DE-VIG | AL+ | REQ. GAP | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -105 | -115 | 49.0% | 0.09410 | 10.3pp | hold |
| -110 | -109 | 50.1% | 0.09192 | 10.1pp | hold |
| -118 | -102 | 51.7% | 0.08881 | 9.7pp | hold |
| -125 | +104 | 53.1% | 0.08643 | 9.4pp | hold |
| -135 | +112 | 54.9% | 0.08346 | 8.9pp | hold |
| -150 | +124 | 57.4% | 0.07976 | 8.4pp | hold |
| -175 | +144 | 60.8% | 0.07503 | 7.6pp | switch |
| -200 | +164 | 63.7% | 0.07150 | 7.0pp | switch |
| -250 | +201 | 68.3% | 0.06657 | 6.0pp | switch |
| -350 | +273 | 74.4% | 0.06096 | 4.8pp | switch |
| -500 | +370 | 79.7% | 0.05678 | 3.6pp | switch |
Highlighted row nearest this board's ML -136.
RevealUnsettled
Room says wins53%
Mean confidence60%
Dispersion (σ)18 pp
Poster's hidden call60%
Predicted − actual gap+7 pp
Slips counted60
THRESHOLD · 8PP ON A 136-SIZE ML
Predicted 60% · Actual 53% · Gap +7pp.
HEDGE SIGNAL · NO HEDGE SIGNAL
RECOMMENDATION: RIDE THE TICKET — NO HEDGE
Gap +7pp — inside noise for a 136-size ML (threshold 8pp). Room agrees with your read.
Read the rule →GAMBLING RISK DISCLAIMER
Shared Opportunity is an analytics and dispersion tool, not betting advice. The hedge signal describes what the room said — it does not guarantee any outcome. Wagering carries real financial risk; hedging costs juice and can still lose. Bet only what you can afford to lose, follow the laws in your jurisdiction, and if gambling stops being fun call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org. 21+ (18+ where legal).
Market SnapshotReference
Room win belief53%
Poster predicted 60%+7pp gap
Model Confidence
High
Volatility Index
Medium
De-vigged fair line on the favorite: 54.9%·Room is below fair value by 1.9pp·Snapshot based on 60 slips.